Bitcoin May Not Make a Comeback This Year, Chinese Analysts Claim

Francisco Memoria

Various analysts in China reportedly believe that bitcoin, the number one cryptocurrency, may not make a ‘big comeback’ this year. After enduring a year-long bearish trend that saw its price dip from a near $20,000 all-time high to a $3,200 low, it may not yet be ready to recover.

Per local news outlet Beijing News, analysts in China are cautious when it comes to the cryptocurrency’s future in the short-term, as they argue the market won’t likely see large returns this year.

Sun Hang, a senior analyst at Token Club, claimed that in the short run we may see the market move upward due to an “imbalance” between supply and demand. Even if the price does rise, Hang added, it’ll likely only happen in the second half of this year.

As for whether investors should put their money in bitcoin this year, Hang revealed it depends on the investors. If they’re looking to hold for “3 to 5 years”, he said, it “makes sense to buy [the] dip in 2019.”

 If they’re looking to invest for a shorter amount of time, he added, they should be careful as “bitcoin is unlikely to outperform other investment targets due to the limitations of blockchain technology over the next 12 months.” As to whether bitcoin was close to bottoming out, he noted it wasn’t clear.

Per 8BTC, another analyst named Huang Liang took a different approach. He was quoted as saying:

At both macroeconomic (tight liquidity within the crypto market) and microeconomic level (slower-than-anticipated blockchain adoption), 2019 will not be a year for bitcoin’s strong corrective rally.

The analyst added that BTC’s price may still drop further this year. Another analyst, Xiao Lei, revealed he sees this year as one in which cryptocurrencies look for a “survival value,” and not one in which cryptoasset prices repeat 2017’s rally, although it’ll be better than last year’s bear market.

Per his words, in 2019 we can expect volatility in the market, with heavy correction included. Lei was quoted as saying:

The best investment strategy is to keep calm, pour a relatively small amount of money into the market and accept the volatility.

At press time, bitcoin is trading at $3,900 after rising 1.7% in the last 24-hour period. The MVIS CryptoCompare Digital Assets 100 Index, a market cap-weighted index that tracks the price of the top 100 cryptos, shows BTC is outperforming most top altcoins, as the index is up 1.1% in said period.

Other top altcoins, however, are performing much better. Ether, the second-largest crypto by market cap, is up 5.7% to $159.2, while Tron’s TRX has surged 10% over BitTorrent’s BTT token, while litecoin is up 13% as it’s trading at $36.

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Two Brazilian Crypto Exchanges Close Following Change in Tax Laws

  • Two Brazilian exchanges have been forced to close in the face of strict new regulations.
  • Exchanges are required to keep track of all transactions made with cryptocurrency or pay fines. 

Two Brazilian cryptocurrency exchanges have been forced to shut down following the enactment of new tax laws. 

Following reports of rampant cryptocurrency-related fraud in 2019, Brazilian politicians have created and enforced new tax regulations for the industry of cryptocurrency. 

According to a report by Bitcoin.com, exchanges Acesso and Latoex are two of the first casualties of the increased regulation. Both exchanges have decided to end operation, rather than pay the hefty fines and comply with strict regulation in the face of shrinking trading volume. 

Pedro Nunes, co-founder of Acesso Bitcoin, told Portal do Bitcoin, 

After the Federal Revenue Service introduced these rules we noticed a significant decrease in the traded volume. We also feel that the market has cooled off for smaller exchanges.

The new regulations, implemented in August 2019, require traders and brokerages to report all transactions involving cryptocurrencies. Failure to comply results in penalties ranging from 500 BRD to 1500 BRD ($120 - $360). 

Exchanges say that compliance with the new regulation requires expensive investment into new resources, which has been untenable for smaller and less profitable organizations.

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