On Friday (September 23), a very popular crypto analyst explained why $XRP has performed so well in the past week or so.
As you can see from data by TradingView, on crypto exchange Bitstamp, XRP-USD has gone from around $0.3238 on September 16 to around $0.4930 where it is today (as of 8:00 a.m. UTC), which is a gain of a gain of over 52% in just eight days.
As you may remember, on 22 December 2020, the SEC announced that it had “filed an action against Ripple Labs Inc. and two of its executives, who are also significant security holders, alleging that they raised over $1.3 billion through an unregistered, ongoing digital asset securities offering.”
Anyway, yesterday, crypto analyst and influencer Ben Armstrong (AKA “BitBoy Crypto”) told his over 888K Twitter followers that although there were several reasons for this pump, he believes that the SEC “basically gave up this week trying to prove XRP is a security” and that even if Ripple loses this lawsuit, $XRP HODLers need not worry too much since it is unlikely that the penalty will be anything other than a fine (which, of course, Ripple should easily be able to pay).
Armstrong, who has long been very bullish on $XRP, feels that once SEC’s lawsuit comes to an end (especially if Ripple wins), will mean that investors in XRP will be “rewarded” for their “patience”.
Yesterday, American lawyer John Deaton, who has been closely following the lawsuit and commenting on it, clarified the “basic summary judgement” by the SEC:
On September 21, Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse talked to Ryan Selkis, Co-Founder and CEO at Messari, at Messari’s annual conference Mainnet (September 21-23, 2022) — in New York City — about the U.S. SEC’s lawsuit against Ripple.
First, the Ripple CEO talked about Ripple’s mission and where it stands today:
“Today, I believe… we are effectively building enterprise blockchain base solutions. We started with cross-border payments. We sell to banks. We sell to financial institutions. We have billions of dollars of transactions going throughRippleNet, through XRP with the product we call On-Demand Liquidity.
“I think Ripple is one of the few truly scaled crypto use cases that actually is solving a problem. It’s not a science experiment. It’s not in a testing phase. If anything, we’re trying to throttle growth right now. The demand is outstripping really our ability to serve that demand right now. In Q2, which was obviously a tough quarter for crypto at large, was a record quarter for Ripple.“
Next, he addressed the misconception that Ripple runs a lot of the infrastructure that powers the XRP Ledger:
“Let’s try to start with facts. So today, of the 155 validators on the XRP Ledger, Ripple runs like six out of 155 or something… There’s been amendments passed on XRP Ledger that Ripple the company opposed. It’s traditional open source software. We can’t control it.“
As for the SEC’s ongoing lawsuit, the Ripple CEO had this to say:
- The first time that he went to meet with the SEC, he “didn’t go with any lawyers,” because he did not even imagine that XRP might be deemed a security. And there was “never even a suggestion that XRP was a securit.”
- Ripple is ready to spend even over $100 million to defend itself against the SEC, which he believes is something not just important for Ripple, but for the crypto industry as a whole.
- Back in 2017, Ripple was trying to “sign customer one” (for using XRP in production rather than in a test environment).
- Back in December 2021, when the SEC started its lawsuit against Ripple, “XRP was traded on well over 200 exchanges around the world,” and “99% of all XRP trading had nothing to with Ripple the company.”
- In recent times, the SEC has gone “cuckoo for Cocoa Puffs” (i.e. gone insane) and has been “blasting out these investigative letters.”
- In the first letter that Ripple received from the SEC, which was in 2019, they were told the SEC wanted Ripple’s “voluntary co-operation”, and in fact there was a sentence in that letter saying “we’ve made no determination about what we view XRP as.” However, the SEC claims in its lawsuit that from 2013 to 2023 Garlinghouse “should have known XRP was a security.”
- Ripple believes that there is “no investment contract” and so “you don’t even get to the Howey test.” Neither Ripple or Garlinghouse “enter into a a contract with anyone who bought XRP.”
- By mid November, Ripple should have the motion for summary judgement “fully briefed in front of the judge”, and then it could take between two and nine months for a decision to be made. It is unlikely that the judge will say a trial is needed since there is no real dispute on the facts, only on how the law should be interpreted.
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