Bitcoin (BTC) Long-term Price Analysis – February 17

  • Currently, the bears are also seemingly unable to create a significant move on the market.
  • Traders are to be on the lookout for a breakout above the 50-day SMA to enter a long position.

BTCUSD Long-term Trend – Ranging

  • Distribution territories: $4,500, $5,000, $5,500
  • Accumulation territories: $2,500, $2,000, $1,500

Bitcoin’s price has been ranging in the last few trading sessions. The cryptocurrency has essentially been seeing various lower lows and lower highs, around the $3,500 mark, since January 11.

Bitcoin, BTCUSDBitcoin Chart by TradingView

The cryptocurrency’s 50-day SMA is currently above the 14-day SMA, while the Stochastic Oscillators have crossed from ranges 80 and 60 where they’re now consolidating. It’s currently unclear whether the bulls will be able to gather the momentum they need to help BTC’s price grow.

Currently, the bears are also seemingly unable to create a significant move on the market. Traders are to be on the lookout for a breakout above the 50-day SMA to enter a long position.

The views and opinions expressed here do not reflect that of CryptoGlobe.com and do not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research.

BTC Now Below $8300, but Tom Lee Says ‘2020 Should Be Great for Bitcoin’

Siamak Masnavi

On Thursday (January 23), Thomas Lee, Co-Founder, Managing Partner, and the Head of Research at independent research boutique Fundstrat Global Advisors, while appearing as a guest on CNBC's post-market show "Fast Money", predicted that "2020 Should Be Great for Bitcoin" and explained why.

According to data from CryptoCompare, at press time (around 10:20 UTC on January 24), Bitcoin is trading at $8,273:

BTC-USD 24 Hour Chart on 24 Jan 2020.png

This is the first time that Bitcoin has traded below the $8,300 level since January 14, as you can see in the two-week BTC-USD price chart shown below:

BTC-USD 2 Week Chart on 24 Jan 2020.png

Since Bitcoin reached $9,151 at 01:00 (UTC) last Sunday (January 19), the BTC price has been steadily falling, perhaps in anticipation of the "traditional" slowdown in Bitcoin trading around the time of the Chinese New Year (which, this year, starts on 25 January 2020 and ends on 11 February 2021). This expected drop in Bitcoin trading volumes was something that Arthur Hayes, Co-Founder and CEO of crypto derivatives exchange BitMEX, predicted in a tweet he sent out yesterday:

However, Lee, does not seem concerned about the currently falling prices of Bitcoin and altcoins in the crypto market.

Lee, who was appearing on Fast Money to give his views on the stock, bond, and crypto markets, was asked by the shows's host, CNBC news anchor Brian Sullivan, if he was still bullish on Bitcoin.

Lee replied:

"Yeah, 2020 should be great for Bitcoin because you got number one the halvening happening -- the block reward for miners getting cut in half -- that's a good supply demand change. I think last year the White House killed the Bitcoin rally with their opposition, but with the presidential election cycle underway, it's not gonna be in the headlines, and that's bullish for Bitcoin. And then with geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, I think that's good for crypto... We're getting a lot more interest in it from our clients."

It is worth remembering that two weeks ago Lee tweeted about a report he had published on January 9 about the outlook for crypto in 2020. According to this report, there are three positive convergences/catalysts for Bitcoin in 2020:

  • Bitcoin halving/halvening (which is expected to take place around 12 May 2020).
  • Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
  • 2020 U.S. Presidential Election

Lee said at the time that the bottom line is that "financial markets tend to discount 1-3 months, and maybe 6 months (max)" and therefore the "highest probability is halvening not priced in."