Anthony Pompliano Talks About the Future of Bitcoin (BTC) in 2019

Siamak Masnavi

On Thursday (January 10th), Ran Neu-Ner, the host of CNBC Africa's "Crypto Trader" show, released the video of a discussion he had recently with Anthony Pompliano (Founder and Partner at Morgan Creek Digital, as well as the host of the "Off the Chain" podcast) about the future of Bitcoin (BTC) in 2019.

Pompliano, who goes by the nickname "Pomp" (@APompliano) is a highly influential figure in the crypto community on Twitter and his "Off the Chain" podcast, which was only launched a few months, has already become one of the most popular and important podcasts in the crypto space.

So, it was quite fitting that CNBC's "Crypto Trader" decided to have Pompliano as a guest for the first episode of his show in 2019, and he chosen to make the focus of this episode be predictions for the future of cryptocurrencies, especially, Bitcoin, in 2019. Although this episode also featured two other guests, for the purpose of this article, we focus on Pompliano's comments about Bitcoin.

Q: Do You Think the Worst is Over?

"I don't think that we've got that much farther to fall, but I also don't think that it's over. The likelihood that we have a major recovery in 2019 is probably low in my opinion."

Q: What Makes You Think That?

"I think it's likely that we go sideways for a while. If you look at Bitcoin's price, maybe somewhere between $2,500 and $4,440, for a good portion of the year, is probably likely based on what we are seeing."

Q: How Do You See Bitcoin Adoption Taking Place and What Do You Think Will Be the Big Story for Bitcoin in 2019?

"Adoption could be broken down in a couple of different ways, but all the underlying fundamentals show that adoption has continued to increase even through the bear market. So, if you look at the hash rate, it 4X-ed in 2018. If you look at the number of transactions from March 2018 through December, it continued to increase. And over $400 billion was settled onchain for Bitcoin last year. So, I think that's only going to continue in 2019 and beyond."

Q: Is the Lightning Network Going to Be the Big Story of 2019?

"Yeah, I mean, Lightning, the growth there is incredible.. In less than 10 months, they went from zero payment channels to over 18,000. They literally added a thousand payment channels last week in about three days. So, I think that's just going to continue to grow as more people understand what it is, they join the network... And I think, when we think of adoption around Bitcoin, this isn't just a one year exercize. We're talking about a five to ten year exercize, but every single day counts, and Lightning is obviously one of the fastest growing things around scalability and usability."

Q: So, Is Lightning the Biggest Bitcoin Story of 2019?

"I think it's probably one of the stories. The other two stories are if a retail product gets approved, I think, will be big, and the third is, actually, who is buying. I think previously to 2018, we saw a lot of retail investors, almost the majority [were] retail, but institutions are starting to come in, slowly but surely. And so, it would be a huge deal if sovereign wealths or pensions or anybody like that started to buy Bitcoin, and I think we'll see that in 2019."

 

Featured Image Credit: Photo via Pexels.com

Brazil Is for Blockchain but Against Crypto

Brazil, or the Federative Republic of Brazil, is a Portuguese-speaking state in South America with more than 200 million inhabitants. It is in fifth place among all countries of the world in terms of area and sixth in terms of population.

The Brazilian economy ranks ninth in the world in terms of nominal GDP and seventh in purchasing power parity. The country is a member of the UN, G20, WTO, Mercosur and the Union of South American Nations, and is also one of the BRICS countries.

Despite the active development of IT in the country and massive investments in this industry, large investors and financial institutions have preferred to stay out of cryptocurrencies. Brazil has tightened crypto control: investment funds are now banned from buying cryptocurrencies, and banks have demonstrated unfriendly attitudes by blocking the accounts of cryptocurrency companies and crypto owners.

Nevertheless, Brazil is actively integrating blockchain technology into its infrastructure and economy and even launching its own instant payment system. More on that in the article written by Solomon Brown, Head of PR for Freewallet, a cryptocurrency wallet developer.

Cryptocurrency Regulation in Brazil

Interest in the crypto industry is growing in Brazil, and regulation is slowly catching up. The main managerial authority that currently deals with crypto companies is CADE - Council for Economic Protection of Brazil. Regulators have still not taken decisive action. They first showed their willingness to do so in November 2018, submitting for consideration a bill on the taxation of crypto assets.

On May 31, 2019, the chairman of the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies ordered the creation of a commission to consider cryptocurrency regulation in the country. The commission is tasked with overseeing the digital asset industry. Also, the Brazilian Federal Revenue Office (RFB) has issued new rules requiring cryptocurrency exchanges to inform the regulator of user transactions in order to detect tax fraud, local news outlet Livecoins reported.

The guideline states that cryptocurrency trading platforms in Brazil have to inform the agency about the movement of user funds in cryptocurrencies and comply with the requirements of standard 1.888 / 2019, published last May, “whenever the monthly volume of operations exceeds 30,000.00 Brazilian reals ($5.140).” In addition to the transaction volume, operators must also provide additional data including the citizenship of the owner of the digital currency, his place of residence, registration number and a description of the crypto assets used in the transaction.

At the moment, there are no other specific laws regarding holders: those who store crypto without transferring their assets to fiat don’t have to pay income tax. Some investors have to report to the tax service — there is a provision requiring you to pay a 15% income tax on earnings of more than 35,000 reals per month, which is approximately $6,000.

Meanwhile, the four largest financial agencies in Brazil have teamed up to create a regulatory sandbox and develop regulation for new technologies, including blockchain. The Ministry of Finance, the Central Bank, the Securities Commission and the Superintendent for Private Insurance of Brazil announced their intention to put together a set of rules for fintech and cryptocurrency businesses.

Regulators said the new rules will affect Brazil's securities, finance and capital markets. In addition, institutions will create a normative sandbox to facilitate new developments in technology.

A new regulatory initiative came soon after the announcement of plans to establish a Cryptocurrency Regulatory Commission in Brazil. Although new regulatory efforts are defining the boundaries of using cryptocurrency and blockchain technologies in business, many cryptocurrency sellers are still not classified in the financial market.

The Minister of Finance has hailed the benefits that DLT technology has brought to Brazil's financial markets, also mentioning cryptocurrencies and ICOs in the field of finance. Brazil currently has the largest number of cryptocurrency users in Latin America and ranks fifth in the world in this respect. According to experts, at the end of 2019, 8% of the Brazilian population owned some form of crypto asset. But with all that red tape, a basic question arises: How do locals buy cryptocurrencies?

Cryptocurrencies in Brazil: Where to Buy and How to Spend

Local Bitcoin Exchanges

Despite the government’s bearishness, Brazilian cryptocurrency exchanges and exchangers still exist and are operating, but not actively enough, compared to the countries that are more friendly to the crypto industry. Here is a summary of the volume data of Bitcoin buy and sell transactions collected from 40 local exchanges, such as BitBlue and Braziliex.

According to Cointrader Monitor, a local website monitoring cryptocurrency quotations in Brazilian brokerages, exchanges reported having handled 395,209.48 Bitcoins from January 1, 2019 to March 31, 2020. The highest volume exchange was demonstrated by MercadoBitcoin with 120.889.34 Bitcoins traded, corresponding to 30.58% of the national market.

The day that registered the biggest Bitcoin movement in the period was June 26, 2019, with 5,070.38 BTC. And the day with the least movement was January 1, 2020 with 64.90 BTC. Analysts suggested that the downtrend might be a consequence of cryptocurrency companies having lost credibility due to litigation with their clients.

Talking about the BTC trading volume, it is interesting to note that the 2020 numbers are encouraging, compared to the figures from the first quarter of 2019.

img 1.png

Source: CointraderMonitor

From January to March 2019-2020, the national Bitcoin market saw a 32.64% increase. Thus, if the trend continues, we can expect a volume of more than 480,000 Bitcoins traded in Brazil in 2020.

These figures prove a considerable number of Brazilians are sticking to local crypto services, exchanges and wallets. Nevertheless, the country is in Freewallet’s top 20 list by number of users, which makes us extremely proud.

What to Buy for BTC

In the Brazilian city of Fortaleza, citizens will be allowed to pay for public transport with cryptocurrency, according to Cryptoglobe, which cited local media. The Ceart State Autonomous Carrier Cooperative (COOTRAPS) announced that a new function for buying tickets via QR codes will appear as part of a special application. Currently, debit and credit cards are the supported means of payment.

COOTRAPS is also considering adding cryptocurrencies other than Bitcoin. City authorities want to increase the efficiency of the payment system, reduce its cost and attract more people who will use this service. This is a way to reduce bureaucracy and make the system easier for users with the help of crypto.

In December 2018, Oásis Supermercados began accepting cryptocurrencies as a payment method. Now, shoppers in Rio de Janeiro can pay for purchases with Bitcoins, Bitcoin Cash and Litecoin. For this, the supermarket chain is working with CoinWISE. In this arrangement, the withdrawal of cryptocurrencies to fiat occurs every three days.

In Brazil, more and more local companies are beginning to support crypto. Clients of the Technisa construction company can get a 5% discount when paying with Bitcoins. Bitcoin Cash and Litecoin are accepted by transport companies Brasil Sul and Viação Garcia and metro operator Metrô Brasília.

In 2017, Dash announced a partnership with the Brazilian platform CoinBR. After that, the altcoin began to be accepted in 13,000 stores. Earlier Dash announced a collaboration with the Uphold platform.

According to a statement by Dash CEO Ryan Taylor, this will allow 94 percent of the population to use tokens in everyday life. Simultaneously with these events, the digital currency rate has more than doubled, since November 2017, when the coin was worth $300.

Analysts even believed at one point that, due to its widespread distribution in Brazil, the price of the altcoin would rise to $1,000, which wasn’t that far-fetched back when the price was around $840.

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Source: newsbtc

But, as we all know, nothing lasts forever, and Dash is currently trading around $74, according to CryptoCompare.

Brazil: Blockchain for Good

Unlike crypto, which hasn’t been warmly welcomed, blockchain is employed in many Brazilian social institutions.

In early September 2019, the first birth certificates were issued exclusively through blockchain technology without having to go through registration in the registry office. A new type of registration project was developed by technology company Growth Tech in partnership with IBM. Registration is done through Growth Tech’s Notary Ledgers platform, which provides virtual notarial services.

The Brazilian Ministry of Education has proposed the creation of a blockchain platform for the issuance of digital certificates of education among non-state universities in order to combat the falsification of diplomas. Brazil Education Minister Abraham Weintraub said the government is considering this opportunity. The resources for financing the development of the platform will come from private educational institutions themselves, as they will be solely responsible for issuing diplomas.

In addition, to implement this measure, the ministry will require universities to create independent departments responsible for managing the blockchain-based platform. Local media have also reported that at least 14 private universities have already shown interest in the government’s proposal. Gilberto Garcia, the former president of the National Board of Education, said the initiative also includes all educational institutions in the system, which will support the concept of transparency that the blockchain can offer.

PIX: The Prospects of Cryptocurrency in Brazil

Brazilian cryptosphere has had a bumpy road due to the slow development of crypto regulation in the country. For instance, recently the XDEX Brazilian cryptocurrency exchange, owned by the largest brokerage company in Latin America, XP Investimentos, announced its closure. And it’s not the only company that has had to make this difficult decision due to disappointing market forecasts. A lot of cryptocurrency companies have had  to continue fighting banks in order to be provided with financial services. Just recently the Mercado Bitcoin exchange won its court case over a bank closing its bank account this March.

Nevertheless, the government is eager to implement blockchain decisions to improve the lives of its citizens. For instance, this February, the Central Bank of Brazil launched the PIX instant payment system which uses QR-codes and doesn’t require personal data. This initiative is a tool to fight against alternative digital payment means, including cryptocurrencies.

The system, which involves all state banks, will allow for almost instant payments using mobile applications, Internet banking and ATMs 24/7. Hopefully, this measure will add to the blockchain adoption that’s happening right now in Brazil. And, who knows, maybe after PIX proves the benefits of anonymity and cashless transfers, cryptocurrencies will also get regulated and be welcomed by the state.

Featured image by sergio souza on Unsplash


Solomon Brown, Head of PR at Freewallet. Drawn to the blockchain space by a belief in its ability to restructure global finance and passionate about telling stories, Solomon cut his teeth in blockchain startup promotion before joining Freewallet's Team in 2018. LinkedIn