Bitcoin (BTC), Like Gold in 2008, Will “Flash Dump” But “Moon Afterwards” Says Expert Crypto Analyst

Omar Faridi
  • Bitcoin (BTC) will “have a bull run” after its value drops significantly due to a “flash dump”, says experienced crypto analyst Willy Woo.
  • Woo had accurately predicted on May 25th that BTC’s price would drop below $6,000.

Willy Woo, an experienced cryptocurrency analyst, had accurately predicted via Twitter in May that Bitcoin (BTC) would drop below the $6,000 mark before it would exhibit any signs of recovery.

Woo also noted in late May that BTC may not sustain the $7,000 price level. The crypto researcher remarked:

I think we are gonna go to $5500-5700 next, I can’t see $7000 holding. Most likely we’ll balance a bit, then we’ll slide through. Long time-frames here, looking into June for rough timing of this to play out at a best guess.

“$5000s Is A Very Strong Support Band”

Woo had further predicted that BTC’s price would probably not dip below $5,000 within the same period. His comments on bitcoin’s price movements 

“I don’t necessarily think we’ll fall through the 5000s… sure it’s a possibility but it doesn’t have to. It’s not a repeat, it’s not Mt Gox and Willybot pushing up price with faked orders, we aren’t detoxing from a scam bubble. Technically $5000s is a very strong support band.”

On June 29th, BTC had fallen to its lowest value we’ve seen this year when it was trading at around $5,800-$5,900, according to data from CryptoCompare. Then about three weeks after hitting its low point, bitcoin’s price surged past $8,000 on July 24th.

Now though, it appears that this was fairly short-term bullish momentum given that BTC is currently trading well below the $8,000 mark at only $7,671.65 at the time of this writing. Notably this significant drop in bitcoin’s price took place in just 48 hours.

“Flash Dump” Ahead For BTC, But “Moon Afterwards”

Given current trends in the crypto market, Woo has now made some more predictions. He stated on August 1st that Bitcoin will likely drop further because of a “flash dump”, but “then moon afterwards, just like Gold in WFC [Wall Street Financial Crisis] 2008. Flight to safety: everything else sells off to USD, then used to unwind leveraged positions, then afterwards havens like Gold and BTC have a bull run.”

Woo also remarked that moving forward, bitcoin’s value would depend on whether institutional investors make substantial investments in the cryptocurrency market. The Forbes contributor said, “Probably also contingent on how many institutional players are in the BTC market over that period. Normal retail HODLers won’t tend to have large leveraged positions to unwind from, apart from maybe mortgages.”

Crypto Trading Tips From Willy Woo

Woo offered some advice on crypto trading as well:

When in bear, stay in USD as a base currency, then short (and long with extra care). When in bull stay in BTC and do vice versa.”

Notably, the veteran crypto investor often uses the NVT signal/ratio to predict bitcoin’s future performance.

The Standard NVT ratio is calculated by dividing Network Valuation by the Transactional Value on a blockchain network, and then “smoothed using a moving average”, according to Woo, who introduced it last year: "The moving average [is then applied] … to the volatile Transactions component only without smoothing the already stable Network Valuation component.”

Burn Satoshi's Bitcoin, Suggests Paxful CEO in Thought Experiment

John Moore
  • Paxful CEO Ray Youssef proposes 'burning' the stash of Bitcoin alleged to belong to Satoshi Nakamoto
  • Bitcoin creator said to hold up to 980,000BTC in dormant wallets, theoretically worth US$10 billion
  • Without complete consensus on the move,  burning the coins would cause another Bitcoin fork

One member of the global cryptocurrency community has come up with what can best be described as a scorched earth policy for settling the debate over who is Satoshi Nakamoto once and for all. 

With the spotlights of Bitcoin watchers firmly on the latest questionable claim to be the creator of cryptocurrency as we know it, Ray Youssef - CEO and co-founder of crypto marketplace and wallet service, Paxful - in a now-deleted Tweet - took to Twitter to propose a Bitcoin soft fork that would 'burn' the BTC its  pseudonymous developer is thought to hold in wallets that have never been active.

His suggestion was ignored by a group of crypto-luminaries who he tagged for support, and apparently rounded on by commenters. 

Blockchain analysis undertaken in 2013 by Security Researcher and Bitcoin Blogger, Sergio Demain Lerner , alleged that Nakamoto may have amassed something like 980,000 bitcoin as a lone miner in the early days of its existence. When the BitMEX exchange team revisited Lerner's work a year ago, they reduced this estimate to 700,000 - but didn't rule out the possibility that the figure could be much higher.

Thus, the cryptocurrency the creator fo bitcoin likely accumulated between Jan and August 2009 (or late-Jan 2010, depending on whose opinion you listen to) could, theoretically, be worth something in the region of $10 billion at the current market rate.

A more realistic assessment of their value, however, centers on the idea  that - as they are sitting in the most closely watched wallets on the crypto scene - any attempt to move or sell them would cause massive upheaval in the global cryptocurrency markets, crash the BTC price and gut their value before a significant amount could even make it to a hot wallet somewhere. 

This scenario has been a sword of Damocles threatening Bitcoin since the Satoshi's Stash theories first appeared amid early interest in the concept, explaining the appeal of simply removing control of the coins from their owner - especially to someone with a vested interest in Bitcoin's value. However, Youssef's suggestion that such a measure would 'smoke out' Nakamoto's real life persona, was obviously considered to be ethically outrageous by some and a logistical nightmare by almost everyone. 

It's not that it isn't technically possible. It is. However, unless it had the consensus of the entire Bitcoin network (saying it wouldn't is a pretty safe bet), the fork would create two blockchains and a 'Schroedinger's Nakamoto' - where Satoshi was very rich on one, but not on the other. 

Let it not be forgotten that a similar schism led to a fork in the Ethereum blockchain following The DAO hack a few years back, a split that we have to thank for the existence of Ethereum Classic, which stuck with the pre-DAO blockchain. Let it also not be forgotten that recent Bitcoin forks have not worked out so well for most of the parties involved. Let it also not be forgotten that Nakamoto is considered with almost deity like reverence by some crypto-evangelists. All in all, it seems Youssef is now regretting making the suggestion

So, while Youssef's suggestion could well have been a way to get the real Satoshi Nakamoto to please stand up, it would likely have done much more damage than good.