Bulls Are Back In Town: Bitcoin Bounces Back From ETF Slump to Regain Over 4%

Avi Rosten

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Bitcoin (BTC) has had a turbulent day.

Dropping over 5% in price this morning to fall below the $8,000 level -  it seems that the slump was prompted by the SEC’s (US Securities and Exchange Commission) rejection of the Winklevoss twins’ bitcoin ETF application for the second time.

The cryptocurrency however, has almost completely bounced back to its former heights at the time of writing – regaining over 4% to approach the $8,200 mark - as the title chart from CryptoCompare shows.

All About ETFs

With many suspecting that the current mini-bull run is largely motivated by anticipation surrounding the SEC’s proposals from VanEck and SolidX – it is likely that investors took the rejection of the Winklevoss’ ETF has a bad sign ahead of the SEC’s decision – expected in mid-August.

While there are numerous other bitcoin-related ETF proposals currently lodged with the SEC, those of VanEck and SolidX have generated by far the most attention – with several hundred comments submitted regarding the proposals on the SEC website.

For comparison, the proposals filed by Boston-based ETF provider Direxion Investments at the time of writing have prompted only three comments.

With bitcoin in the latter half of July bucking the generally bearish trend, investors will be encouraged by the resilience shown in the face of ostensibly bad news. A truer test of market sentiment however, will likely emerge when the SEC’s decision on the more hotly-anticipated bitcoin ETFs arrives.

How Bakkt Can Bring the Crypto Space an Institutional Investor Influx

Cryptocurrency enthusiasts have for years been waiting for institutional investors to enter the space. While the introduction of bitcoin futures contracts on regulated exchanges in late 2017 didn’t gain a lot of traction, but Bakkt may.

Bakkt is a long-awaited bitcoin futures exchange and on-boarding platform from the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) - the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange – and it’s set to launch this year. Bakkt itself has remained tight-lipped over the precise launch date after delaying its launch last year, with ICE CEO Jeff Sprecher in February simply saying “later this year.”

It’s possible that this quarter may see the launch or at least more news about when the exchange is finally coming. At the end of March, Bakkt CEO Kelly Loeffler explained:

While we’re not yet able to provide a launch date, we’re making solid progress in bringing the first physical delivery price discovery contracts for bitcoin to the U.S.

Bakkt’s launch could be a major milestone for the cryptoasset industry. A venture backed by Microsoft and Starbucks, its institutional pedigree alone will switch many cautious investors on. Specifically, the firm is set to help consumers pay for goods and services with cryptocurrencies, with Starbucks being the flagship retailer in its arsenal.

Bakkt’s Bitcoin futures contracts will be the first physically-settled derivatives on a regulated trading platform. This means investors will receive the contract’s underlying asset, bitcoin, when it expires.

Currently the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) offers cash-settled bitcoin futures contracts, meaning investors get the equivalent of BTC’s value in fiat when the contracts expire. This is seen by some as a major development in the cryptocurrency space, as it shows traditional finance is willing to interact with the nascent cryptoasset industry.

It’s worth noting that earlier this year the ICE’s CEO called Bakkt a “bit of a moonshot bet,”  as it was organized in a way “very different than the way ICE typically does business.” The firm has its own offices and management team, and could undergo more rounds of financing in the future.

Bakkt And a Potential Bitcoin ETF

What’s significant about Bakkt’s launch beyond this, is that it may bolster the chances of a Bitcoin Exchange-Traded fund (ETF) being approved. Such a product would make it easier for institutional investors to gain exposure to cryptocurrencies.

In August, the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) rejected nine other ETF applications, in particular highlighting how those applying hadn’t provided evidence that “bitcoin futures markets are of significant size’” for an ETF to be launched.

Once Bakkt is launched its trading volumes may very well help quell the SEC’s concerns over the bitcoin futures markets’ small size as institutions and other investors may feel comfortable entering it. Larger futures contracts trading volume, increased liquidity and a well-established company involved may prove enough to convince the SEC that the time is right for a Bitcoin ETF.

Bakkt therefore represents a very significant milestone for a maturing cryptoasset industry and may well herald the “institutional influx” that many have been anticipating since 2017. Despite the markets remaining relatively flat throughout 2019 these looming decisions in the U.S. have the power to move the entire industry forward, for better or worse.