BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes Stands by $50,000 Bitcoin Price Prediction

Omar Faridi
  • BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes recently stated on CNBC’s Fast Money show that he’s sticking to his $50,000 Bitcoin price prediction by end of this year.
  • Hayes said that Bitcoin could be “one positive regulatory decision away” from again hitting the $20,000 mark, and then surging to $50,000.

BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes recently stated that he still thinks Bitcoin (BTC) will reach $50,000 by the end of this year. The Wharton School graduate sated on CNBC that he thinks “something that goes up to $20,000 in one year can have a correction down to around $6,000.”

He added that bitcoin might be “one positive regulatory decision away” from again reaching the $20,000 price range, and then climbing up to $50,000. This regulatory decision could be something like an ETF being approved by the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), according to Hayes.

The CEO of BitMEX further noted that he thinks larger cryptocurrency price movements will occur during an even shorter timespan as we move forward. This, he added, because of the increase in the number of active participants in the evolving crypto market.

Hayes then pointed out that from 2013 to 2015, “we went for $1,200 to $200” and from 2015 to 2017, “[from] $200 to $20,000.” Having gone through these large price swings in previous years, Hayes believes it is possible that the timespan between these high price fluctuations could become shorter due to the sheer number of investors “who have invested capital and resources to trade this asset class.”

Additionally, the cryptocurrency exchange’s chief executive revealed higher liquidity levels, along with an added interest in cryptocurrencies, will lead to a shorter timespan “between an aggressive bear market and an aggressive bull market.”

Bitcoin's Unexpected Surge 

Fundstrat co-founder Tom Lee has also made a bullish bitcoin price prediction, as he believes the cryptocurrency hit $25,000 by the end of 2018. Hayes himself has in the past predicted BTC will hit $50,000.

Notably, bitcoin’s price fell below $5,900 this week and many market analysts thought it would decline further. The cryptocurrency has been enduring a bearish trend that saw it drop from a near $20,000 all-time high since late last year. Surprisingly, though, the flagship cryptocurrency has surged to around $6,400 and appears to be stabilizing at this price.

Billionaire Novogratz: Altcoins Won't Pump Like In 2017 Bull Run, Bitcoin Will Dominate

It appears that cryptocurrency prices have finally begun to recover after enduring an extended bear market which lasted throughout 2018.

As the market capitalization of Bitcoin (BTC) and other major cryptoassets continues to rise, several analysts have been drawing comparisons between what they’re seeing in the current market and what they observed during the historic bull market of late 2017 and early 2018.

Commenting on the recent crypto market price movements via Twitter, Ran NeuNer, the host of the CNBC Africa Trader show, remarked:

The market is running but we still haven’t seen the crazy alt pumps, pumps where coins do 40% in a day...is it coming?

Bitcoin To “Outperform” All Other Cryptos “This Time”

As the bitcoin price begins to recover, there have been many predictions made regarding the anticipated performance of altcoins. Twitter user “Crypto Bitlord” (@Crypto_Bitlord), a widely-followed digital asset market analyst, believes XRP, which currently has a market cap of around $16.3 billion, may trade as high as $10.

However, prominent crypto investor Michael Novogratz believes that digital asset traders are a lot smarter this time, when compared to some of the bad investment decisions they might have made during the initial coin offering (ICO) craze of 2017.

Novogratz, who’s the founder and CEO of Galaxy Digital, a full-service crypto merchant bank, has predicted that in this market run, Bitcoin will “outperform” all other cryptoassets.

On May 16th, 2019, the Bitcoin price surged to a 2019 high of $8,373 according to CryptoCompare data. In response to bitcoin’s recent price movements, Juan Villaverde, the Chief Analyst at Weiss Crypto Ratings, told CryptoGlobe: 

Bitcoin could fall to as low as $4,400. But [if] it does, it will be the best Bitcoin buying opportunity since 2015.

“More Good News For New Bitcoin Users”

Villaverde, an econometrician and mathematician focused on developing various crypto index models at Weiss Ratings, believes bitcoin would be a great buy at a lower price (as suggested above) because of the following reasons:

  • “The usage of Bitcoin is near all-time highs – 450,000 transactions per day. That’s up from a low of 150,000 in April of 2018 and approaching the all-time high of 490,000 in December of 2017.”
  • “Despite the high transaction volume, fees on the Bitcoin network are at their lowest levels since August of 2017 – more good news for users.”
  • “The Bitcoin block size is now greater than ever before, thanks to the Segwit technology upgrade.”

Villaverde further noted that the predictions are “based on studying the time patterns in Bitcoin's rises and falls throughout its 9 year trading history.” He explained that the time patterns have been analyzed by using an “algorithm-based market cycles model.”

The Chief Analyst at Weiss Ratings also mentioned that the bear market “ended on December 15th 2018 and the model confirmed this shift in trend on March 26th of this year.”

He added:

Then, after the rally that took place starting on April 25th, the same model told me a new bull market was now underway. The same model indicated a 30% to 45% correction due as of late April-early May and we seem to be experiencing that right now.